Quantitative Models Behind the Exposure Scores
Our exposure scoring system rests on three quantitative pillars. First,
factor decomposition isolates the geographic revenue components that explain
variation in firm-level returns. Second, regression analysis estimates the
relationship between foreign sales concentration and subsequent
risk-adjusted performance across the cross-section. Third, risk attribution
techniques map how much of a portfolio's total volatility can be traced
to geographic revenue concentration rather than sector membership or
currency exposure alone. Each model is calibrated on historical disclosure
data and validated against out-of-sample periods to assess stability.
We publish model specifications, variable definitions, and validation
results so independent researchers can reproduce our findings. No
methodology is treated as proprietary magic. If a model fails validation, we
revise it and document the change.
Source-Verified Classifications
Every revenue attribution is traced to its original regulatory filing or annual report disclosure.